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UFC 158: St. Pierre vs Diaz Predictions

Posted by KDog13 on March 16, 2013


Kelvin Kuo-US PRESSWIRE

George St. Pierre vs Nick Diaz

After listening to the conference call, and watching the pre-fight press conference, how can you not be pumped for this fight. Words were exchanged, and I’ve never seen George St. Pierre so aggravated and angry before like this. I truly believe although GSP denies it, that he genuinely does not like Nick Diaz. The fuel has been added, the fire is lit, and this one is bound to be a hell of a fight. Obviously GSP is one of the best wrestlers in mma, if not the best, and he’s continually proven his strength cannot be matched. Although criticized for his lack of finishes recently, and his technique, make no mistake GSP is still winning regardless. The most important aspect in anyone’s career is legacy, which has a lot to do with your record, which boost you in the pound for pound section. GSP is still beating the best guys in the welterweight division no matter how you look at it, and a finish is great, but not as great as win over a loss. Anyways, as for Diaz, he probably will expect to be on his back for a good amount of the fight, and rightfully so, but he is no slouch in his guard. I think he has the ability to possibly submit GSP, or get up. His cardio is insane, and if he can get to GSP, it’s going to be in the later rounds. Which brings me to my prediction that Diaz will dethrone GSP by TKO in the championship rounds. Not to say GSP doesn’t have great cardio because he does, but Diaz is relentless every round, so the pace of the fight is very dependent on if GSP can control him, and I just think Diaz is too good on the ground to be stuck there for chunks of time.

Kelvin Kuo-US PRESSWIRE

Carlos Condit vs Johny Hendricks

A replacement Hendricks was, and I admire him for taking this fight. Not to say Ellenberger is lesser of a fighter than Condit is, but at this moment, Condit status-wise is a bigger fight for Hendricks. It’s a fight that cannot deny Hendricks of a title shot, if he does win. Hendricks will look to test all of his skills in this fight, as Condit could bring the best out of him. Armed with a murder’s row left hand, and solid wrestling, it was only a matter of time before Hendricks became known in the welterweight division. Condit will look to bounce back after an impressive defeat to George St. Pierre. Usually a loss isn’t considered impressive, but he was persistent throughout the fight, and really gave GSP a run for his money, especially in the 3rd round when he landed a head kick that dropped GSP. This is a tough fight to call because I’m really thinking that Hendricks although we suspect he wants this fight standing, seeing that GSP was able to takedown Condit with ease, and the title shot this close, he could try and play it safe.

Matt Ryerson-US PRESSWIRE

Jake Ellenberger vs Nate Marquardt

After Johny Hendricks replaced Rory MacDonald to face off against Carlos Condit, Nate Marquardt fresh off losing his Strikeforce welterweight belt in the last Strikeforce event, stepped up to face Jake Ellenberger. Marquardt is making his return to the UFC after being cut for pulling out on the day of weigh ins for UFC on Versus 4 because he was not medically cleared. Marquardt whom recently dropped down to 170, is such a big welterweight, and strength could be a factor in this fight. Marquardt can strike on his feet, and is well versed on the ground, his preference would be in top control, so he could unleash his brutal ground and pound. Ellenberger who is dubbed the nickname “Juggernaut” has had a very successful UFC career thus far, going 7-2 with a split decision loss in his debut to Carlos Condit, and of course the recent defeat to Martin Kampmann via TKO (Knees). Ellenberger bounced back from the defeat to Kampmann with a revenge win over Jay Hieron. Ellenberger hasn’t been the same killer that skyrocketed him to the upper ranks of the welterweight division but I believe he is focused, and like he said at the weigh ins, “It’s my time”. I believe Ellenberger is going crack Marquardt a few times, stuff Marquardt’s take downs, and dictate the fight in route to a decision victory. Only concern I have for Ellenberger is his later round cardio, which is suspect as seen in the Diego Sanchez fight. Never the less, I still have Ellenberger winning this fight.

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March Madness: Remaining Auto-Bids Predictions *Updated 3/16*

Posted by KDog13 on March 10, 2013


2013 conference tournament predictions
Conference Ticket Punched Already Prediction
ACC  Duke
America East  Albany (24-10)  Stony Brook
Atlantic Sun  Florida Gulf Coast (24-10)
Atlantic 10  Saint Louis
Big East  Louisville
Big Sky  Weber St.
Big South  Liberty (15-20)
Big Ten  Michigan St.
Big 12  Kansas
Big West  Pacific
Colonial  James Madison (20-14)  Northeastern
Conference USA  Memphis (30-4)  Memphis
Horizon  Valparaiso (26-7)  Valparaiso
Ivy League  Harvard (19-9)
MAAC  Iona (20-13)  Iona
MAC  Akron
MEAC  Norfolk St.
Missouri Valley  Creighton (27-7)
Mountain West  New Mexico
Northeast  LIU-Brooklyn (20-13)  LIU-Brooklyn
Ohio Valley  Belmont (26-6)
Pac-12  Arizona
Patriot  Bucknell (28-5)  Bucknell
SEC  Florida
Southern  Davidson (26-7)  Davidson
Southland  Stephen F. Austin
Summit  South Dakota St. (25-9)  South Dakota St.
Sun Belt  Western Kentucky (20-15)  Middle Tennessee St.
SWAC  Texas Southern
WAC  Denver
West Coast  Gonzaga (31-2)  Gonzaga

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Betting Tip #5: An Array of Picks

Posted by KDog13 on January 4, 2013


Well, I hope no one follows my betting tips up until now because I can’t get any worse, well actually I can. I’m 0-4, and yesterday’s pick I pointed out it could be a trap game, in which it was. Anyways, I’m going to make an array of picks to play catch up. Granted it’s basically all favorites, there is no upsets I like tonight. Saturday is a better day for that though. 

By Georgios Pazios (Alaniaris) (Έργο αυτού που το ανεβάζει (own work)) [Attribution], via Wikimedia Commons

My Picks for Tonight:

College Basketball: Valparaiso Crusaders (-1000), Rhode Island Rams (-430), St. Peter’s Peacocks (-190), Iona Gaels (-900), Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds (-350), and Tulane Green Wave (-420)

NBA: LA Lakers vs LA Clippers Over 206.5 (-110), Memphis Grizzlies (-470), Oklahoma City Thunder (-650), and Brooklyn Nets (-250)

Parlaying them is probably the best bet to make anything. Also I’d like to note that these tips aren’t made to sway which way your money goes or anything. This is just me making Predictions. Odds via (Topbet).

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UFC on FX 6: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson Quick Predictions

Posted by KDog13 on December 14, 2012


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UFC on Fox 5 Results: Henderson manhandles Diaz to retain belt; Gustafsson earns title shot

Posted by KDog13 on December 8, 2012


 

Main Card:

Ben Henderson def. Nate Diaz by unanimous decision (50-43, 50-45, 50-45)

Alexander Gustafsson def. Mauricio Shogun Rua by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)

Rory MacDonald def. B.J. Penn by unanimous decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-27)

Matt Brown def. Mike Swick by knockout (punches) Round 2 (2:31)

Preliminary Card:

Yves Edwards def. Jeremy Stephens by knockout (punch and elbows) Round 1 (1:55)

Raphael Assuncao def. Mike Easton by unanimous decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)

Ramsey Nijem def. Joe Proctor by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Daron Cruickshank def. Henry Martinez by knockout (kick) Round 2 (2:57)

Abel Trujillo def. Marcus LeVesseur by TKO (knees) Round 2 (3:56)

Dennis Siver def. Nam Phan by unanimous decision (30-24, 30-25, 30-26)

Scott Jorgensen def. John Albert by submission (rear-naked choke) Round 1 (4:59)

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UFC on Fox 5: Henderson vs Diaz Predictions

Posted by KDog13 on December 8, 2012


 

Main Card Breakdown:

Mike Swick meets Matt Brown in our opening bout in the main card. It should be an exciting stand up fight from the opening bell, and this one won’t last the three rounds. Swick who made his long awaited return to octagon was able weather the storm and knock out Demetrious Johnson. Swick had been injured for two years, so ring rust obviously showed, but he did find a way to get back to his winning ways. Brown is enjoying his longest win streak since three years ago, and with a win here, he will have gone from almost cut to a top 25 fighter in MMA. This should be an awesome fight, and I believe both guys will trade shots but Swick will utilize his wrestling to get this one to the ground at some point, where he will submit Brown. 

Our next fight is going to fireworks, and I can’t wait. There is legit beef in the air, and blood to spill in this one. Rory MacDonald looks to continue his rise in the welterweight division, as he pulled B.J Penn out of retirement to challenge him. Penn accepted, and it’s been a war of words since. MacDonald at only 23, is already 4-1 in the UFC with some big wins. His wrestling mixed in with one of the most accurate ground and pounds games, is a big reason why will be a future champ one day. Penn is a complete fighter, and something I don’t think MacDonald has ever faced. Given the age difference, and MacDonald with the edge in cardio, this could be a tough one for Penn. BUT, I think Penn can stuff MacDonald’s takedowns, and even if Penn succumbs to one, his BJJ will get him back on the feet unlike MacDonald’s other opponents in the past. I honestly don’t think MacDonald will want any part standing up with Penn once he gets cracked, but it will be too late to decide otherwise when Penn lays him out early. Penn via KO early!

Our co-main event has big implications because the winner will be the next contender to the light heavyweight belt. This fight is so interesting because on one hand, Alexander Gustafsson‘s rise has been so quick, and everyone thinks he is the one to challenge Jon Jones given his long limbs as well. For Mauricio Shogun Rua, it’s a chance at regain his glory, and getting that belt back. Although Shogun looked lackluster in his last fight, although for us fans it was a war, if you were to really access that fight, it was sloppy. But, make no mistake, Shogun did what he needed to do, and delivered for the fans. Now, Shogun needs to be technical because Gustafsson has the ability to pick you apart on the feet, that of a similar fight style like guerilla warefare. This is a tough one to call, but I think Shogun can hang around the entire fight, and with that I believe Shogun will find a way to get this one to the ground, where he will finish Gustafsson via strikes. 

What an exciting main event between two guys who always bring it! Ben Henderson will look to defend his belt for the second time, and it’s hard to believe that given his quick accension in the UFC. Nate Diaz on the other hand since returning to lightweight has been a monster, picking apart some title contenders in his path to the belt. This one is tough to call as well because Diaz is so good everywhere except I think Henderson might be the right man to beat him. Henderson has some powerful leg kicks, and his wrestling, especially his top game has the potential to pin Diaz and beat him up. But, if Henderson keeps this one standing, I don’t see him winning the encounters because Diaz utilizes his reach so well, and it really throws off his opponents. I’m up in the air with this one because I think these guys match up so well, each have there strengths but not by much to overpower each other totally. I’m going to go with Diaz to edge out a decision, but I tell you what I would not be surprised to see it go the other way like in the Edgar fights.

 

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UFC 154 Results: George St. Pierre remains champ; Hendricks KO’s Kampmann

Posted by KDog13 on November 18, 2012


Main Card:

Georges St-Pierre def. Carlos Condit by unanimous decision (49-46, 50-45, 50-45)

Johny Hendricks def. Martin Kampmann by knockout (punch) Round 1 (0:46)

Francis Carmont def. Tom Lawlor by split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Rafael dos Anjos def. Mark Bocek by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

Pablo Garza def. Mark Hominick by unanimous decision (29-27, 30-26, 29-28)

Preliminary Card:

Patrick Cote def. Alessio Sakara by DQ (strikes to back of head) Round 1 (1:26)

Cyrille Diabate def. Chad Griggs by submission (rear-naked choke) Round 1 (2:24)

John Makdessi def. Sam Stout by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 30-27)

Antonio Carvalho def. Rodrigo Damm by split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Matthew Riddle def. John Maguire by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

Ivan Menjivar def. Azamat Gashimov by submission (armbar) Round 1 (2:44)

Darren Elkins def. Steven Siler by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)

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UFC 154: St. Pierre vs Condit Predictions

Posted by KDog13 on November 17, 2012


 

 

Main Event and Co-Main Event Analysis:

Welterweight champion George St. Pierre returns to the octagon in a bout against interim welterweight champion Carlos Condit, where an undisputed champion will be crowned. This is an exciting fight, and I really believe Condit has a really good shot to dethrone GSP considering the long layoff, and the fact that he is coming off a major injury. Condit is very well rounded, and also a very smart fighter. We all know George St. Pierre is a powerful wrestler with one of the best top controls in the business. If he can get this fight to the ground which I believe he will be able to, he should grind out a decision victory like I am predicting. Expect a five round fight, but mostly on the ground because I believe GSP won’t stand with Condit too long.

The Co-Main Event features two top ranked welterweights, in which I believe the winner should be next in line for a title shot. But, Dana White is looking at a GSP-Silva Superfight, so that could prove to be a bummer for the winner here. Kampmann recently has made a name for himself lately for getting beat up early, and coming back to win. Kampmann used to be very technical but after the Diego Sanchez loss, he has resorted to being very aggressive and reckless. I’m not sure that will work here because Hendricks is a solid counter puncher, and has pretty damn good wrestling to boot. I really see Hendricks here getting the better of the exchanges, and even taking down Kampmann a few times in route to a decision victory

 

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UFC on Fuel TV 6 Results: Cung Le knocks out Rich Franklin

Posted by KDog13 on November 10, 2012


Results: 

Cung Le def. Rich Franklin by knockout (punch) Round 1 (2:17)

Thiago Silva def. Stanislav Nedkov by submission (arm-triangle choke) Round 3 (1:45)

Dong Hyun Kim def. Paulo Thiago by unanimous decision (30-26, 30-27, 30-27)

Takanori Gomi def. Mac Danzig by split decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)

Jon Tuck def. Tiequan Zhang by unanimous decision (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Takeya Mizugaki def. Jeff Hougland by unanimous decision (30-25, 30-27, 30-27)

Alex Caceres def. Motonobu Tezuka by split decision (28-29, 30-27, 30-27)

John Lineker def. Yasuhiro Urushitani by unanimous decision (29-28, 30-27, 29-28)

Riki Fukuda def. Tom DeBlass by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

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UFC on Fuel TV 6: Franklin vs Le Predictions

Posted by KDog13 on November 10, 2012


 

Quick Breakdown of the Main Card

Rich Franklin returns to the middleweight division, where he is 7-2 with the only losses coming to the Middleweight champion Anderson Silva. Cung Le is coming off his first UFC win over Patrick Cote, and this would mark his 2nd fight in four months. This fight is very interesting because it has the making of being a barnburner, although I think each fighter has an edge depending on what round it reaches. Le’s arsenal of kicks has been a rare sight in MMA, and is truly exciting to watch. Franklin is a legend, and always has an exciting fight for the most part. The longer this fight goes, Franklin’s cardio could prevail him to a decision or late stoppage but I believe that Le will put it on early and finish Franklin.

When looking at the co-main event, at first I was leaning towards Stanislav Nedkov but Thiago Silva has more to lose in this fight, and I like a desperate fighter. Nedkov is also a pretty small light heavyweight, and before landing the knockout blow to Luiz Cane, he was getting picked apart on the feet. I think Silva does the same as Cane but his heavy hands will get the job done in the first round.

Paulo Thiago since that knockout win over Josh Koscheck hasn’t lived up to that potential he showed, and I really can’t see him defeating Dong Hyun Kim. Kim is a grinder, although he has improved his standup game, and if he takes this one to the floor, his top control will take over this fight. Thiago needs to come out aggressive early, and when the fight hits the ground constantly throw up submissions. Unfortunately I see him getting smothered en route to a decision victory

The “Fireball Kid” returns, and I think this fight will provide fireworks. Takanori Gomi is a banger, and Mac Danzig is a gamer…which in other words means a potential fight of the night. Gomi definitely has shown signs of his career winding down, he doesn’t quite have the same striking game he made a career off of. As for Danzig, it’s been a bumpy ride for the TUF 6 season winner. Danzig has never put together a win streak to catapult himself from the bottom of the division, and that has made him an overlooked TUF winner to say the least. I think this fight will be a back and forth fight, and I think the “Fireball Kid” will have something left in the tank to knock out Danzig in the second round.

I can’t say I know much about Jon Tuck but from what I’ve seen he is a really well rounded fight, and packs some heavy hands. His 8 second knockout win over One FC title contender Eduard Folayang only proved that. Tiequan Zhang who is the only native chinese fighter on the card has a tough fight on his hands. He really is a one trick pony with his excellent submission game but I can’t see that working here. I think Tuck is going to end this one fairly quick, and Zhang’s career in the UFC will come to an end unfortunately.

 

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